04-05-2007, 02:24 PM | #101 | |
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04-05-2007, 02:25 PM | #102 |
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I'd like to note I haven't been the cause of fighting in this thread. lol.
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Masquerading as Cougarguards very own genius dumbass since 05'. Last edited by RockyBalboa; 04-05-2007 at 02:27 PM. |
04-05-2007, 02:28 PM | #103 |
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It was a sarcastic joke- I forgot that actuaries actually do need the "TIC" label in order to get it.
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04-05-2007, 02:28 PM | #104 | |
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So I used an estimate of 250,000 to 400,000 blacks. If you want to tweak the upper bound on the estimate, that's fine, but it doesn't undermine the mathematical example I gave. |
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04-05-2007, 02:29 PM | #105 |
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Find a relatively decent-sized sample of GA bios. Track the amount of time between conversion and/or adulthood and when they were called as a GA.
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04-05-2007, 02:30 PM | #106 |
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04-05-2007, 02:51 PM | #107 | |
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Fine work, Mr. Actuary. By the way, assuming your own estimate of 400,000 is correct, that would be one black for every 32 members, not 35 (so even your "mathematical example" was flawed based on your made up figures). |
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04-05-2007, 02:58 PM | #108 | |
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First of all, you are talking now only about time as being a member as the "qualifying" criteria for gaining the necessary experience to serve as a GA. You have just dramatically increased the pool of "eligible" black candidates (I use the word eligible in quotes because I believe they are eligible simply by being called- with or without any experience- whereas you seem to think there is some sort of length of time they must serve to be eligible). I would be willing to bet there are tens of thousands of blacks with over 25 years of experience as members, perhaps even more. Second of all, why are you so married to the concept of "needing experience" to be a GA? Just because most GAs called today have a lot of experience as members of the church? Since when does the recent custom become a requirement? Could the church call anyone they want to be a GA? Yes or no? Have they called people before with little to no experience? Yes or no? There is the answer to your questions (and you don't even need to add!). |
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04-05-2007, 03:04 PM | #109 |
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Moderators, I propose you lock this thread.
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04-05-2007, 03:07 PM | #110 | |
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Why don't you enlist the help of someone that understands math and do some statistical hypothesis testing (try boardmailing Pelagius). If you think my ballpark numbers so far off, feel free to provide some data to prove otherwise. If you think even a relatively large change in those ratios matters that much, feel free to statistically demonstrate that fact. In the absence of that, your lazy-ass criticisms ring completely hollow. Last edited by Indy Coug; 04-05-2007 at 03:10 PM. |
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