The Race for the US Senate... - cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board

Cali Coug · 06-27-2006, 09:54 PM

I thought I would post a quick summary of the US Senate elections this November. I haven't listed the states where the party currently in control is virtually guaranteed to remain in control.

States which are currently Democrat and the status of those elections:

Minnesotta (a virtual tie)
Maryland: Should stay Democrat
Washington: Democrat Cantwell leads, but it is a close race
Connecticut: Lieberman almost certain to win
New Jersey: Probably Democrat, but a close race
Florida: Democrat
Michigan: Democrat

States which are currently Republican and the status of those elections:

Virginia: Probably will remain Republican, but Webb makes a strong opponent
Montana: Likely Democrat
Rhode Island: Chaffee is the most liberal Republican in the Senate, and he looks poised to win the nomination. He faces tough competition from the Democratic nominee. This race is up in the air.
Ohio: Likely Democrat
Nevada: Could be a close race with Jack Carter mounting a tough campaign
Pennsylvania: Likely Democrat as Santorum is getting whooped
Missouri: Talent now trailing in the polls
Tennessee: Frist's vacated seat could go either way, but currently leans Republican

Independent Seats and the status of the election:

Vermont: Will remain independent, but Sanders is a self-described "democratic socialist" and will almost certainly win the seat

Overall status:

Democrats need 6 seats (assuming Sanders wins in Vermont) to take control of the Senate. Where might those 6 seats come from?

Most likely, Republicans will lose their seats in Montana, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Missouri is also a strong possibility as is Tennessee. Rhode Island could be close. Virginia and Nevada may be a stretch, though I think both will be quite competitive by the end (which harms Allen's presidential hopes, even if he does win re-election). Assuming Democrats retain all of their seats (not an easy task, given the close elections in Washington, New Jersey and Minnesotta) and pick up 6 of the 8 seats above, they will take control.

06-27-2006, 09:54 PM	#1
Cali Coug Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 5,996	The Race for the US Senate... I thought I would post a quick summary of the US Senate elections this November. I haven't listed the states where the party currently in control is virtually guaranteed to remain in control. States which are currently Democrat and the status of those elections: Minnesotta (a virtual tie) Maryland: Should stay Democrat Washington: Democrat Cantwell leads, but it is a close race Connecticut: Lieberman almost certain to win New Jersey: Probably Democrat, but a close race Florida: Democrat Michigan: Democrat States which are currently Republican and the status of those elections: Virginia: Probably will remain Republican, but Webb makes a strong opponent Montana: Likely Democrat Rhode Island: Chaffee is the most liberal Republican in the Senate, and he looks poised to win the nomination. He faces tough competition from the Democratic nominee. This race is up in the air. Ohio: Likely Democrat Nevada: Could be a close race with Jack Carter mounting a tough campaign Pennsylvania: Likely Democrat as Santorum is getting whooped Missouri: Talent now trailing in the polls Tennessee: Frist's vacated seat could go either way, but currently leans Republican Independent Seats and the status of the election: Vermont: Will remain independent, but Sanders is a self-described "democratic socialist" and will almost certainly win the seat Overall status: Democrats need 6 seats (assuming Sanders wins in Vermont) to take control of the Senate. Where might those 6 seats come from? Most likely, Republicans will lose their seats in Montana, Ohio and Pennsylvania. Missouri is also a strong possibility as is Tennessee. Rhode Island could be close. Virginia and Nevada may be a stretch, though I think both will be quite competitive by the end (which harms Allen's presidential hopes, even if he does win re-election). Assuming Democrats retain all of their seats (not an easy task, given the close elections in Washington, New Jersey and Minnesotta) and pick up 6 of the 8 seats above, they will take control. Last edited by Cali Coug; 10-22-2006 at 10:48 PM.