And the freefall begins... - cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board

ERCougar · 09-22-2008, 03:20 PM

BYU drops to 7th (Utah 12th, TCU 15th).
http://www.mratings.com/cf/compare.htm

The computers are going to hurt us from here on out.

Disclaimers to prevent flaming this post: I know this includes a lot of non-BCS computer polls but I still think it's a cool site. I also realize 6th to 7th doesn't constitute a freefall, but I do see us continuing to drop, as UCLA and UW get exposed, at least until we hit our harder conference games.

MikeWaters · 09-22-2008, 03:27 PM

TCU beating Oklahoma is key to the very slim chances of playing in the MNC game.

jay santos · 09-22-2008, 03:30 PM

See my post last week.

http://cougarguard.com/forum/showthread.php?t=22492

I haven't updated this projection with this week's data, but this is still a good guideline.

ute4ever · 09-22-2008, 03:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeWaters

TCU beating Oklahoma is key to the very slim chances of playing in the MNC game.

TCU wins and jumps 10 spots, then wins out and goes to the title game?

MikeWaters · 09-22-2008, 03:51 PM

with so many sec and big 12 teams at the top, instead of being spread out among the conferences, this really does set up many of these teams to fall in the rankings as they lose to one another.

ERCougar · 09-22-2008, 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeWaters

with so many sec and big 12 teams at the top, instead of being spread out among the conferences, this really does set up many of these teams to fall in the rankings as they lose to one another.

Fall in the human polls. Not in the computer polls.

MikeWaters · 09-22-2008, 03:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ERCougar

Fall in the human polls. Not in the computer polls.

Auburn is now 18th in the computer polls. what were they last week? They were 8th. Why the drop?

ute4ever · 09-22-2008, 04:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeWaters

Auburn is now 18th in the computer polls. what were they last week? They were 8th. Why the drop?

The shutout over Louisiana Monroe isn't so impressive as the season progresses, as the Warhawks keep losing to everyone else.

ERCougar · 09-22-2008, 04:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeWaters

Auburn is now 18th in the computer polls. what were they last week? They were 8th. Why the drop?

It's early in the season--not enough wins to balance out the loss. If they did that at the end of the year, they might drop 2-3 spots.

Obviously teams will drop, but not like flies, and not enough to get us in there.

jay santos · 09-22-2008, 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ERCougar

It's early in the season--not enough wins to balance out the loss. If they did that at the end of the year, they might drop 2-3 spots.

Obviously teams will drop, but not like flies, and not enough to get us in there.

When you say get us in "there", do you mean NC game? If so, I agree. We can't schedule Utah State and a non D1 team and expect to have an SOS to justify NC game--even when the MWC is having a good year.

09-22-2008, 03:20 PM	#1
ERCougar Senior Member Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 1,589	And the freefall begins... BYU drops to 7th (Utah 12th, TCU 15th). http://www.mratings.com/cf/compare.htm The computers are going to hurt us from here on out. Disclaimers to prevent flaming this post: I know this includes a lot of non-BCS computer polls but I still think it's a cool site. I also realize 6th to 7th doesn't constitute a freefall, but I do see us continuing to drop, as UCLA and UW get exposed, at least until we hit our harder conference games.

09-22-2008, 03:27 PM	#2
MikeWaters Demiurge Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 36,365	TCU beating Oklahoma is key to the very slim chances of playing in the MNC game.

09-22-2008, 03:30 PM	#3
jay santos Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 6,177	See my post last week. http://cougarguard.com/forum/showthread.php?t=22492 I haven't updated this projection with this week's data, but this is still a good guideline.

09-22-2008, 03:51 PM	#5
MikeWaters Demiurge Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 36,365	with so many sec and big 12 teams at the top, instead of being spread out among the conferences, this really does set up many of these teams to fall in the rankings as they lose to one another.