How can they call a state when less that 1% of the precincts are in? - cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board

Mormon Red Death · 11-05-2008, 01:54 AM

Second Question, how can they call a state for Obama when McCain is leading in the polls?

BarbaraGordon · 11-05-2008, 01:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mormon Red Death

Second Question, how can they call a state for Obama when McCain is leading in the polls?

They called Oklahoma with 0% reporting.

BarbaraGordon · 11-05-2008, 02:05 AM

MRD, here's CNN's projection process:
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/...ion.explainer/

I see Utah's been called for McCain. Shocking, I say.

il Padrino Ute · 11-05-2008, 02:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mormon Red Death

Second Question, how can they call a state for Obama when McCain is leading in the polls?

Let's hope this is a repeat of '04 when Kerry had the election won by 4:00PM eastern time.

Jeff Lebowski · 11-05-2008, 02:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BarbaraGordon

They called Oklahoma with 0% reporting.

Ditto for Utah. Polls closed in Utah at 8:00 pm. At 8:01 pm, NBC called Utah for McCain. I am not kidding.

BarbaraGordon · 11-05-2008, 02:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jeff Lebowski

Ditto for Utah. Polls closed in Utah at 8:00 pm. At 8:01 pm, NBC called Utah for McCain. I am not kidding.

I saw. I'm surprised they even waited for the polls to close. I'm curious to see which one McCain wins by the wider margin, Oklahoma or Utah.

DrumNFeather · 11-05-2008, 02:29 AM

Exit polls. It seems that they use some raw data from exit polls throughout the day to call a state.

ute4ever · 11-05-2008, 02:34 AM

Utah had a 2006 population of 2.6 million, with 978,000 of that (40%) in Salt Lake County.

Exit polling in Salt Lake County presently has Obama with a 56-42% lead over McCain, yet they call Utah for McCain.

I don't get it either.

NorCal Cat · 11-05-2008, 02:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ute4ever

Utah had a 2006 population of 2.6 million, with 978,000 of that (40%) in Salt Lake County.

Exit polling in Salt Lake County presently has Obama with a 56-42% lead over McCain, yet they call Utah for McCain.

I don't get it either.

Because the rest of the state will be 80% for McCain.

BarbaraGordon · 11-05-2008, 02:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DrumNFeather

Exit polls. It seems that they use some raw data from exit polls throughout the day to call a state.

Right. It's not exit polling alone, but it's heavily based on exit polling. And when exit polling shows one candidate winning to an extent that's a certain measure past (that is to say, wayyyy past) the margin of error, they'll call the state even with 0% of the precincts reporting.

11-05-2008, 01:54 AM	#1
Mormon Red Death Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Clinton Township, MI Posts: 3,126	How can they call a state when less that 1% of the precincts are in? Second Question, how can they call a state for Obama when McCain is leading in the polls? __________________ Its all about the suit

11-05-2008, 02:29 AM	#7
DrumNFeather Active LDS Ute Fan Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Nantucket : ) Posts: 2,566	Exit polls. It seems that they use some raw data from exit polls throughout the day to call a state. __________________ "It's not like we played the school of the blind out there." - Brian Johnson.

11-05-2008, 02:05 AM	#3
BarbaraGordon Senior Member Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Gotham City Posts: 7,157	MRD, here's CNN's projection process: http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/10/...ion.explainer/ I see Utah's been called for McCain. Shocking, I say.

11-05-2008, 02:34 AM	#8
ute4ever I must not tell lies Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 5,103	Utah had a 2006 population of 2.6 million, with 978,000 of that (40%) in Salt Lake County. Exit polling in Salt Lake County presently has Obama with a 56-42% lead over McCain, yet they call Utah for McCain. I don't get it either.