NY Times: as of 9/24, Obama has an 81.9% probability of winning - cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board

ute4ever · 11-08-2012, 10:19 PM

FWIW, it's true that the Democrats have received the highest popular vote in 5 of the past 6 presidential elections; however, of the 4 elections where they took control of the White House, this was their narrowest win.

1992: Clinton +6.5% of the popular vote
1996: Clinton +8.5%
2000: Gore +0.5%
2004: Kerry -2.4%
2008: Obama +7.2%
2012: Obama +2.7%

It's not as though they have an iron grip on 2016 or 2020. Only one of the past four elections has been a landslide.

11-08-2012, 10:19 PM	#28
ute4ever I must not tell lies Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 5,103	FWIW, it's true that the Democrats have received the highest popular vote in 5 of the past 6 presidential elections; however, of the 4 elections where they took control of the White House, this was their narrowest win. 1992: Clinton +6.5% of the popular vote 1996: Clinton +8.5% 2000: Gore +0.5% 2004: Kerry -2.4% 2008: Obama +7.2% 2012: Obama +2.7% It's not as though they have an iron grip on 2016 or 2020. Only one of the past four elections has been a landslide.