BYU RPI Projections - cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board

jay santos · 02-05-2007, 08:46 PM

OK trust me, this is good stuff. Based on more analysis than I had time to do.

5-2 reg season, 2-1 in MWC tournament: final RPI #21, 6 seed based on RPI
5-2, 1-1: #29, 8 seed
4-3, 2-1: #30, 8 seed
4-3, 1-1: #35, 9 seed

I don't predict the seeds will be that high, but I do predict the RPI will be that high. It's a big ? as to how BYU will be treated by selection committee.

The Borg · 02-05-2007, 09:18 PM

Yeah...but you forgot to add in the "BYU factor" in seeding.

You based your process as if it were 'fair'... with the BYU factor added in, we are always 2 seeds lower than where we 'should' have been placed.

jay santos · 02-05-2007, 09:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Borg

Yeah...but you forgot to add in the "BYU factor" in seeding.

You based your process as if it were 'fair'... with the BYU factor added in, we are always 2 seeds lower than where we 'should' have been placed.

Yes, tournament seeding seems to be a function of RPI, wins last ten games, record against top 50 and top 100, and last whether or not your team name is BYU.

BigFatMeanie · 02-05-2007, 11:18 PM

When BYU effectively cuts in half the number of slots that are available to it (Sunday play issue) then I can see how that might be part of the problem of getting lower seeds than expected.

I'm not suggesting that BYU start playing on Sunday, just saying that they are limiting the options that the selection committee has in giving them the seed they deserve.

Cali Coug · 02-05-2007, 11:25 PM

In my opinion, it is better for BYU to be a 12, 11 or 10 seed instead of an 8 or 9 seed because the 8 and 9 play #1 in the second game.

jay santos · 02-06-2007, 02:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cali Coug

In my opinion, it is better for BYU to be a 12, 11 or 10 seed instead of an 8 or 9 seed because the 8 and 9 play #1 in the second game.

Baby steps. I'd like to at least win one game finally. That will go a long ways in building confidence in our young players and coaching staff and creating an expectation to build on.

02-05-2007, 08:46 PM	#1
jay santos Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 6,177	BYU RPI Projections OK trust me, this is good stuff. Based on more analysis than I had time to do. 5-2 reg season, 2-1 in MWC tournament: final RPI #21, 6 seed based on RPI 5-2, 1-1: #29, 8 seed 4-3, 2-1: #30, 8 seed 4-3, 1-1: #35, 9 seed I don't predict the seeds will be that high, but I do predict the RPI will be that high. It's a big ? as to how BYU will be treated by selection committee.

02-05-2007, 09:18 PM	#2
The Borg Senior Member Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 533	Yeah...but you forgot to add in the "BYU factor" in seeding. You based your process as if it were 'fair'... with the BYU factor added in, we are always 2 seeds lower than where we 'should' have been placed. __________________ Hello......helloo.......HELLLOOO!

02-05-2007, 11:18 PM	#4
BigFatMeanie Senior Member Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: South Jordan Posts: 1,725	When BYU effectively cuts in half the number of slots that are available to it (Sunday play issue) then I can see how that might be part of the problem of getting lower seeds than expected. I'm not suggesting that BYU start playing on Sunday, just saying that they are limiting the options that the selection committee has in giving them the seed they deserve.

02-05-2007, 11:25 PM	#5
Cali Coug Senior Member Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 5,996	In my opinion, it is better for BYU to be a 12, 11 or 10 seed instead of an 8 or 9 seed because the 8 and 9 play #1 in the second game.