Romney up by 3% in California in latest Zogby - cougarguard.com — unofficial BYU Cougars / LDS sports, football, basketball forum and message board

myboynoah · 02-03-2008, 06:02 PM

I expect McCain will counter with allegation that Romney has three wives.

ute4ever · 02-03-2008, 06:51 PM

Didn't they say Romney had a 0.5% lead in Florida last Tuesday?

Jeff Lebowski · 02-03-2008, 08:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ute4ever

Didn't they say Romney had a 0.5% lead in Florida last Tuesday?

I heard something interesting on the radio a few weeks ago. Supposedly, studies have shown that quite a few people will say in a poll that they are going to vote for a black candidate but when they get in the voting booth, they just can't do it. So the black candidates often apply a correction factor to the published poll results to come up with a more likely number. I suppose the same may be true of a mormon candidate.

SeattleUte · 02-03-2008, 08:50 PM

I think you can always find a screwball poll that's at odds with most others and doesn't make any sense.

Cali Coug · 02-03-2008, 09:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SeattleUte

I think you can always find a screwball poll that's at odds with most others and doesn't make any sense.

This poll isn't that screwball. Most recent polls have Romney and Obama up a few points in Cali right now (Zogby, Rasmussen, etc).

BarbaraGordon · 02-03-2008, 10:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SeattleUte

I think you can always find a screwball poll that's at odds with most others and doesn't make any sense.

Seattle, the numbers are moving so fast right now that all the polls are at odds with each other.

SoonerCoug · 02-03-2008, 10:04 PM

Mobilized Mormons=Romney wins California. A low enough percentage of people vote in primaries that California Mormons will probably give Romney the win. But since it isn't winner take all, Romney will still be essentially finished after Super Tuesday.

It might help if Romney could win Arizona, making a big media story about McCain losing his home state.

myboynoah · 02-04-2008, 12:20 AM

If Romney take California, the largest state in the union, that should make a splash. It will say a lot about McCain as an acceptable Repub candidate. This ain't Nevada.

tooblue · 02-04-2008, 01:00 AM

From Time magazine ...

"The Republicans, of course, have no monopoly on bad feelings between candidates. In recent weeks, the bitter feuding between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama has made many voters wary and disappointed. Yet in recent years, Republicans have made a mantra out of Reagan's "11th Commandment": "Thou shall not criticize other Republicans." Unaligned pollster Whit Ayers notes, however, that the Clinton-Obama clashes have "tapped into racial fault lines," something missing from the anti-Mitt sentiment. "It doesn't tap into anything larger," says Ayers. "It's just personal."

Willful naivety?

http://www.time.com/time/politics/ar...709507,00.html

myboynoah · 02-04-2008, 01:58 AM

Rasmussen now has it tied in California after a week of McCain in the lead and the media all but giving it to him. It is also now a virtual deadheat in Georgia with McCain up in one poll and Romney up in another.

I know, I know, Romney has little chance, but he is coming on strong and making a game of it.

02-03-2008, 06:02 PM	#1
myboynoah Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Memphis freakin' Tennessee!!!!! Posts: 4,530	Romney up by 3% in California in latest Zogby I expect McCain will counter with allegation that Romney has three wives. __________________ Give 'em Hell, Cougars!!! Religion rises inevitably from our apprehension of our own death. To give meaning to meaninglessness is the endless quest of all religion. When death becomes the center of our consciousness, then religion authentically begins. Of all religions that I know, the one that most vehemently and persuasively defies and denies the reality of death is the original Mormonism of the Prophet, Seer and Revelator, Joseph Smith.

02-03-2008, 08:50 PM	#4
SeattleUte fairlds.org Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Seattle, WA Posts: 10,665	I think you can always find a screwball poll that's at odds with most others and doesn't make any sense. __________________ Interrupt all you like. We're involved in a complicated story here, and not everything is quite what it seems to be. —Paul Auster

02-03-2008, 10:04 PM	#7
SoonerCoug Formerly known as MudPhudCoug Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Land of desolation Posts: 2,548	Mobilized Mormons=Romney wins California. A low enough percentage of people vote in primaries that California Mormons will probably give Romney the win. But since it isn't winner take all, Romney will still be essentially finished after Super Tuesday. It might help if Romney could win Arizona, making a big media story about McCain losing his home state. Last edited by SoonerCoug; 02-03-2008 at 10:07 PM.

02-04-2008, 12:20 AM	#8
myboynoah Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Memphis freakin' Tennessee!!!!! Posts: 4,530	If Romney take California, the largest state in the union, that should make a splash. It will say a lot about McCain as an acceptable Repub candidate. This ain't Nevada. __________________ Give 'em Hell, Cougars!!! Religion rises inevitably from our apprehension of our own death. To give meaning to meaninglessness is the endless quest of all religion. When death becomes the center of our consciousness, then religion authentically begins. Of all religions that I know, the one that most vehemently and persuasively defies and denies the reality of death is the original Mormonism of the Prophet, Seer and Revelator, Joseph Smith.

02-04-2008, 01:58 AM	#10
myboynoah Senior Member Join Date: Jan 2006 Location: Memphis freakin' Tennessee!!!!! Posts: 4,530	Rasmussen now has it tied in California after a week of McCain in the lead and the media all but giving it to him. It is also now a virtual deadheat in Georgia with McCain up in one poll and Romney up in another. I know, I know, Romney has little chance, but he is coming on strong and making a game of it. __________________ Give 'em Hell, Cougars!!! Religion rises inevitably from our apprehension of our own death. To give meaning to meaninglessness is the endless quest of all religion. When death becomes the center of our consciousness, then religion authentically begins. Of all religions that I know, the one that most vehemently and persuasively defies and denies the reality of death is the original Mormonism of the Prophet, Seer and Revelator, Joseph Smith. Last edited by myboynoah; 02-04-2008 at 02:38 AM.

02-03-2008, 06:51 PM	#2
ute4ever I must not tell lies Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 5,103	Didn't they say Romney had a 0.5% lead in Florida last Tuesday?

02-04-2008, 01:00 AM	#9
tooblue Senior Member Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 4,016	From Time magazine ... "The Republicans, of course, have no monopoly on bad feelings between candidates. In recent weeks, the bitter feuding between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama has made many voters wary and disappointed. Yet in recent years, Republicans have made a mantra out of Reagan's "11th Commandment": "Thou shall not criticize other Republicans." Unaligned pollster Whit Ayers notes, however, that the Clinton-Obama clashes have "tapped into racial fault lines," something missing from the anti-Mitt sentiment. "It doesn't tap into anything larger," says Ayers. "It's just personal." Willful naivety? http://www.time.com/time/politics/ar...709507,00.html