How big will McCain lose in November?

[UtahDan]

How big will McCain lose in November.

[RC Vikings]

Originally Posted by UtahDan

How big will McCain lose in November.

Bob Dole big.

[Archaea]

Originally Posted by RC Vikings

Bob Dole big.

Not if it's Hillary.

Against Obama he's toast, but Hillary is toast for the Dems.

[Indy Coug]

Originally Posted by UtahDan

How big will McCain lose in November.

Not bad enough to make Walter Mondale feel any better.

[BYU71]

An Obama Presidency scares the heck out of me.

I see Jimmy Carter or Ted Kennedy policies with a person that can get away with not being responsible for anyting.

Correct me if I am wrong, but this guy is not being held accountable to explain how he is going to pull off all his promises.

I am not suggesting anything sinister here, just a stark difference in philosophy between Carter-Kennedy and myself. I am afraid with this guy as his policies take us into the shitcan, he won't get blamed or held responsible.

I think if anyone tries to fight him and his policies, he, the democrats and the press will call them racists trying to ruin a black Presidents chance to govern. The rules will be completely different.

[BarbaraGordon]

You're assuming he's running against Barack?

How many states are likely to change color? I don't really see any blue states turning red.

Florida will stay red with McCain.

So what will turn blue? Ohio, maybe? Missouri? New Mexico?

Is there enough black population in La-Ms-Ga-Va for those states to go blue?

Obama would only need one or two states to turn blue to secure victory, so I think he'd win, but I'm not sure there would be any sort of electoral blowout without a huge African-American turnout in the conservative south.

[myboynoah]

Originally Posted by BarbaraGordon

You're assuming he's running against Barack?

How many states are likely to change color? I don't really see any blue states turning red.

Florida will stay red with McCain.

So what will turn blue? Ohio, maybe? Missouri? New Mexico?

Is there enough black population in La-Ms-Ga-Va for those states to go blue?

Obama would only need one or two states to turn blue to secure victory, so I think he'd win, but I'm not sure there would be any sort of electoral blowout without a huge African-American turnout in the conservative south.

Excellent analysis. It's all about the electoral votes. Where are the battle grounds?

Ohio, New Mexico, Missouri, Iowa, maybe Virginia if Obama goes there for a VP candidate. I would say New Hampshire is in play for McCain. I bet those 5-6 states decide this thing, as the rest of the country holds serve.

I really don't see a landslide (unless of course McCain's head explodes or he puts Huckabee on the ticket). The big changes will probably be in the Senate and the House.

[UtahDan]

Originally Posted by BarbaraGordon

You're assuming he's running against Barack?

How many states are likely to change color? I don't really see any blue states turning red.

Florida will stay red with McCain.

So what will turn blue? Ohio, maybe? Missouri? New Mexico?

Is there enough black population in La-Ms-Ga-Va for those states to go blue?

Obama would only need one or two states to turn blue to secure victory, so I think he'd win, but I'm not sure there would be any sort of electoral blowout without a huge African-American turnout in the conservative south.

Obama's appeal is MUCH broader than just the black community. I think either democrat candidate wins in a blow out. The comment above that McCain is Bob Dole is spot on, IMO.

[BarbaraGordon]

Originally Posted by UtahDan

Obama's appeal is MUCH broader than just the black community. I think either democrat candidate wins in a blow out.

I don't see Hillary winning at all. Which states do you think will turn blue?

[SeattleUte]

McCain wins in November. You heard it here first.

Now I see Dan didn't vote for Hillary as a strategic move to help the most vulnreable democrat take Virginia. He likes them democrats.