exit polls out

[NorCal Cat]

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.c...A5YzBjYzExOWY=

Wow, Missouri is leaning for Romney slightly here. This would be a huge win for Romney.

Also, it looks like the pollsters didn't include enough Mormons in their AZ polling, or perhaps the AZ natives are still hold McCain's amnesty bill against him?

"Missouri: Romney 34 percent, McCain 32 percent, Huckabee 25 percent.

Winner take all. If these numbers hold - and these are early voters, the later waves may change the final a bit — it’s a big, big win for Romney.

The early wave in Utah: Romney 91 percent, McCain 5 percent, Huckabee 1 percent.

I think I’m ready to call that one.

Arizona: McCain 44, Romney 39, Huckabee 8.

That’s a heck of a lot closer than I had expected.

Delaware: Romney 43, McCain 34, Huckabee 18.

Not a big state, but it's winner take all, so I'm sure Team Romney would take it."

[SeattleUte]

Originally Posted by NorCal Cat

http://campaignspot.nationalreview.c...A5YzBjYzExOWY=

Wow, Missouri is leaning for Romney slightly here. This would be a huge win for Romney.

Also, it looks like the pollsters didn't include enough Mormons in their AZ polling, or perhaps the AZ natives are still hold McCain's amnesty bill against him?

"Missouri: Romney 34 percent, McCain 32 percent, Huckabee 25 percent.

Winner take all. If these numbers hold - and these are early voters, the later waves may change the final a bit — it’s a big, big win for Romney.

The early wave in Utah: Romney 91 percent, McCain 5 percent, Huckabee 1 percent.

I think I’m ready to call that one.

Arizona: McCain 44, Romney 39, Huckabee 8.

That’s a heck of a lot closer than I had expected.

Delaware: Romney 43, McCain 34, Huckabee 18.

Not a big state, but it's winner take all, so I'm sure Team Romney would take it."

You forgot a few:

The early wave in California: McCain 40 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 10 percent.

New York: McCain 46, Romney 35, Huckabee 10 percent.

New Jersey: McCain 48 percent, Romney 35, Huckabee 9 percent.

Connecticut: McCain 50 percent, Romney 32 percent, Huckabee 7 percent.

Illinois: McCain 47, Romney 31, Huckabee 15.

[myboynoah]

You forgot California:

The early wave in California: McCain 40 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 10 percent.

Fascinating and fun as it is, I remind my readers that this doesn’t tell us that much, as we don’t know what the district-by-district breakdown is. Also, there are three million absentee votes that I’m pretty sure are not included in this. So while these numbers are nice to hear for McCain fans, I take them with even more caution, skepticism and grains of salt than usual.

[myboynoah]

The bad news on Cali is that Intrade is 75-16 McCain. Not a good sign.

[NorCal Cat]

Originally Posted by SeattleUte

You forgot a few:

The early wave in California: McCain 40 percent, Romney 36 percent, Huckabee 10 percent.

New York: McCain 46, Romney 35, Huckabee 10 percent.

New Jersey: McCain 48 percent, Romney 35, Huckabee 9 percent.

Connecticut: McCain 50 percent, Romney 32 percent, Huckabee 7 percent.

Illinois: McCain 47, Romney 31, Huckabee 15.

Didn't forget anything. My post, OBVIOUSLY, is from the Romney perspective.
Don't get too excited yet though. California isn't winner take all anyway, and there are 3 million mail-in ballots not reflected there. One of which is mine.

NY is actually a lot closer than the recent polls showed. More evidence of the Romney surge in general.

[NorCal Cat]

Originally Posted by myboynoah

The bad news on Cali is that Intrade is 75-16 McCain. Not a good sign.

The thing about Cali though is it's a bunch of mini-elections based on congressional district, each one worth 3 delegates. The delegates are not awarded strictly along total vote proportions.

[myboynoah]

Originally Posted by NorCal Cat

The thing about Cali though is it's a bunch of mini-elections based on congressional district, each one worth 3 delegates. The delegates are not awarded strictly along total vote proportions.

True, but I think Romney needs to say he won California.

[Cali Coug]

Originally Posted by myboynoah

True, but I think Romney needs to say he won California.

National Review has him currently tied for Arizona's lead. That would be devastating to McCain, particularly after his (effective) quip that Romney's home state papers didn't endorse Romney, and that McCain could guarantee his home state's paper would endorse him. He might get the paper's endorsement, but lose their primary.

I have said it once and I say it again, Romney isn't dead by a long shot.

[myboynoah]

Originally Posted by Cali Coug

National Review has him currently tied for Arizona's lead. That would be devastating to McCain, particularly after his (effective) quip that Romney's home state papers didn't endorse Romney, and that McCain could guarantee his home state's paper would endorse him. He might get the paper's endorsement, but lose their primary.

I have said it once and I say it again, Romney isn't dead by a long shot.

I hope you're right, Cali.

You fear McCain.

[Cali Coug]

Originally Posted by myboynoah

I hope you're right, Cali.

You fear McCain.

I do fear McCain. He is a stronger opponent by far than Romney. I have seen Romney's campaign, and it is a sad excuse for a presidential campaign. I love Obama's chances in that race.