Quote:
Originally Posted by Archaea
I love this letter:
The problems proponents have is that they really can't dispute him very well. He has credibility, he has the knowledge and he points out the flaws.
Chino Coug, are you in line for some of that grant money?
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Intelligent design people make the same claims about conspiracy (tenure, research grants denied, etc.) as the anti-AGW people to. They debate evolution too and, lo and behold, they have a petition of 1,0000 scientists supporting their cause!
But that's not my point. My point is on value, not validity. Are you familiar with probability theory?
Probability (evolution is valid) = 99%
Costs of ignoring evolution if valid = 0
Expected Cost of ignoring evolution if valid = 0.99*0 = 0
Probability (AGW is valid) = 50% (I'll be generous and assume 90% of climatologists may be wrong)
Costs of ignoring AGW if valid = 6 trillion lives + $54.62 trillion in world GDP
Expected Cost of ignoring AGW if valid: 0.50*(6 trillion lives + $54.62 trillion) = 3 trillion lives + $27.31 trillion
IOW, if you have time to beat the drum on Mormon scientific ignorance, do it on something more urgent.