Quote:
Originally Posted by jay santos
What is easier, getting to a BCS bowl game for a non-BCS or a BCS?
Isolating just on this question, and given your team at the beginning of the year with the only delta being the schedule difference and the BCS rules, I'd say it's probably about equal but maybe a little easier for a non-BCS.
Why?
If you are top 12 in the BCS rankings as a non-BCS, you are virtually guaranteed to make it (though you might not if there is a higher ranked non-BCS. If you are 13-16, you have a small chance.
If you are top 12 in the BCS rankings, you are not guaranteed a BCS bowl, though it is likely.
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Being in the top 12 with an MWC schedule and being the cream of the crop of a very bad crop is something BYU can do every three years or so as long as the current coaching staff is in place.
Right now, there are ten spots between the BCS bowls and the national title game. Due to conference tie-ins, there's usually one or two screwy conference champs that otherwise wouldn't deserve to make it. This reduces the effective spots to 8 or 9. I maintain that BYU can make it in future years with one loss and still make it to 10, 11 or 12 in the rankings, though it would have to be at the beginning of the year. This could have been the case last year. If BYU had only lost to UCLA, BYU may have been sitting there at #10, 11 or 12 ahead of Hawaii.