[BlueK]

He won't win the general if nominated. He will barely pick up a single vote from a non-Caucasian. The demographics of the US today don't work anymore for someone like that to win. The demos of those who elected Reagan would lose today. You can't offend everyone in America who isn't a crass, lower class white person with no better than a HS education and expect to win.

The media coverage makes it seem like Trump has 90% of the republicans in his back pocket now, but the truth is he barely cracks 35% in almost all states that have voted. He's lost 3/4 of the states so far where the primaries or caucuses are closed to non-Republicans, with a whole bunch of states like that coming up next.

The media keeps citing how he's winning in the polls in most of the states coming up, but it's hard to find anything very recent in most states. A poll taken in November is worthless now. On Saturday you have 4 states coming up, with all of them closed to those who are not registered Republicans. 3 are caucuses which tend to mostly attract hard core establishment types. Minnesota was one of those states last Tuesday and Trump took third. But it's not fun for the media to really talk about these things so they don't. The Trump juggernaut is a much more interesting story, so let's promote the narrative as much as possible.

But I think the idea of a brokered convention is more likely than a lot of people think.