Thread: Next Year
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Old 03-16-2007, 09:02 PM   #1
jay santos
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Default Next Year

I was banking on Fredette at point guard until I saw his video clip.

My new take:

5: Plaisted--he's a college 5, let's stop right now with the idea of moving him to the 4 or benching him. This year he didn't make much of a leap on his frosh year, but he's a solid MWC center. I expect at least some improvement. He should be one of the best three centers in the league next year. 15 ppg, 7 rpg

4: Tavernari. Rose (and Cleve's) system is to go shorter than BYU fans are accustomed to. My guess is that Tavernari will play the 4 for Rose his entire career. I expect Tavernari to be a solid starter next year. His per minute pts were highest on the team but you may not know his per minute rebounds were highest on the team. He's a crafty defender. 14 ppg, 6 rpg

3. Cummard. He won't overnight develop into a go to guy on offense. I believe his progress on offense will be much slower than BYU fans are hoping for. He'll crack 10 pts a game but not by much. He'll continue to do the little things and develop a little more as a leader. 11 ppg, 6 rpg

2. Burgess/Fredette. Burgess will start at the beginning of the year. Fredette will come on over the course of the year and either take over the starting role or get more minutes in a back up role. Burgess' hustle and sneaky good 3 pt shooting (48% this year but few would know it) may help him stave off Fredette. They will provide similar numbers as Balderson and Rose combined this year: 13 ppg, 4.5 rpg

Depth: Otero getting the next most minutes backing up the 3 and 4, playing a lot like Cummard but with more muscle and not as good a shot. Vuk/Miles (pending redshirt) back up Plaisted but only play enough to give Trent a breather or cover foul trouble.

Up until now: this team is only a half step behind this year's team, with an improved Tavernari, Plaisted, and Cummard picking up Keena's slack and Otero as a nice find providing depth.

1. Here's the problem. I was banking on Fredette, but I just don't think he's the man. I know what Murdock can do. I'm not impressed with Morgan's JC numbers. Rose is still after another JC point guard. I'm going to say it's a 1/3 chance any of those three could emerge as the starter and a 1/10 chance that starter will be 90% the player AA was this year.

Throw in the point guard deficiency and this team now is a couple steps behind this year. I see us avg to middle upper MWC, 20 wins, and NIT.

I'd like Rose to spend the offseason thinking how he can bring back the Schroyer D that was so successful for a few years. Then maybe if Tyler Haws could graduate a year early, we'll be good to go in the near future.
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