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Old 03-05-2007, 10:15 PM   #1
BigFatMeanie
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Default MWC Tourney Outlook

Things are looking pretty good for BYU in the MWC Tourney. The cougars didn't lose a single game this year to any of the teams in their bracket: TCU/NM, Wyo, AirForce

AirForce/Wyo
AirForce has never won a conference tourney game. Although they blew Wyo out in Colorado Springs, Wyo was missing several players due to suspension from the fight with NM. Air Force barely beat Wyo by two points in Laramie. Given the way Air Force is playing lately, the fact that they have never won a conference tourney game, and that Wyo will have all of their players, there is the very real possibility of an upset for this game. I feel good about BYU's chances vs. either of these teams in the second round assuming BYU takes care of it's first round opponent.

TCU/NM
It's tough to say who will win between these two teams. They split their games with both teams winning at home by 12 points. New Mexico is playing for a lame duck coach and TCU seemed to be playing better at the end of the season. That being said, NM usually draws a pretty good crowd to the tourney so I'm going to pick NM. I don't anticipate BYU having a problem with either of these teams.

So, I would pick the bracket:

BYU over NM
Wyo over AF

BYU over Wyo

My thoughts for the other bracket:

Utah/Vegas
Hard to pick against Vegas playing on their own floor. Vegas beat the Utes both times this year although Utah did take them to 2OT in Vegas. This will be one of the rare cases where I cheer for the Utes but I don't really think they have a chance - I'm definitely picking Vegas in this game.

SDSU/CSU
Aztecs won both games against the Rams this year. I have no reason to pick against the Aztecs.

SDSU/Vegas
Again, hard to pick against Vegas on their own floor. The teams split the series with each team winning at home. Although the game was closer in Vegas than it was in San Diego. Most people think Vegas is a lock because of their RPI and their road wins over Nevada and Texas Tech. I would like nothing more than to see SDSU upset Vegas and I think they have a reasonable chance; however, in the end I have to pick Vegas (I'm already getting a headache just thinking about the neverending "Rebel, Rebel" chants)

So my picks for this bracket:

Vegas over Utah
SDSU over CSU

Vegas over SDSU

BYU/Vegas
I really, really hope someone upsets Vegas before the championship game. BYU has the capability of beating Vegas in Vegas but will need an excellent game with stellar guard play. If the final ends up this way then logic says that Vegas will win but I'll go ahead and throw logic out the window and pick the Cougars through my blue colored glasses.
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