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Old 04-06-2009, 07:44 PM   #4
ChinoCoug
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cali Coug View Post
If Nate Silver is right, Utah is on track to permit gay marriage by 2013.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/...-marriage.html
Utah will take longer than predicted because its low number of "white evangelicals" will cause the model to lowball the amount of time it will take. Mormons will delay the legalization every bit as much as white evangelicals, but that's not captured with this variable.
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