I think Eugene Robinson gets it right here
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...d=opinionsbox1
That debate last night was incredible; the animosity was so apparent. This after playing kissing face in Nevada. I don't think they can retreat from this and I suspect the Obama campaign, many of them former Clintonies, will come out swinging, particularly after Hillary's comments that Obama is "frustrated". This is going to be an entertaining two weeks. Sadly, after the Clintons wrap up the nomination after Super Duper Tuesday, all this will die down. Maybe McCain will be the best candidate for the Repubs; he'd be happy to put on the gloves and take on both Clintons at the same time. |
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I think Obama takes the nomination, particularly once Edwards' supporters move to him (as I think at least 80% of his supporters do). |
These are the latest polls for Florida, California, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey:
Florida - Clinton 56% Obama 23% California - Clinton 39% Obama 27% Pennsylvania - Clinton 40% Obama 20% New Jersey - Clinton 45% Obama 27% I could be wrong, but that seems like an awful big hill to climb. I think people want closure and Super Tuesday should give them opportunity for that. I know you like Obama a lot, but I think the Clintons are doing a good job of making him look like a lightweight. They goad and he responds, which is not the image he banks on; conclusion: politics is indeed a dirty, scrappy business. In a way, they are destroying the imagery that makes him so popular. Obama wants to stay above the fray, bringing people together for the common good. He can't do that if he's constantly swatting at the Clinton flies. |
Byron York had an excellent article on why Republicans should fear Obama.
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The more I'm reminded of why I hate the Clintons the more I want him to win the nomination. At core he seems like a good human being. I'm not certain the same can be said of Hillary. |
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Spell-binding rhetoric does not necessarily a good President make. |
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Who cares about Florida? It is worth 0 delegates (just like Michigan). California gives you proportional delegates, and Obama isn't going to get creamed there either. |
Edwards playing the spoiler, giving Hillary the nomination.
The GOP nomination is probably dependent on who choose to play spoiler as well (Huckabee and Thompson). |
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Rumor has it anyway that an arrangement will be made with excluded states come convention time. We'll see. |
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